Indian Market Outlook August 2026

Factories across India ran hotter in June 2026 than at any point in recent months, with capital goods production jumping 14.2% year-on-year and electrical equipment manufacturing surging 34.0%, according to the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation’s latest Index of Industrial Production release.

A week later, June’s CPI print showed inflation crossing the RBI’s 4% target for the first time in 17 months, which set up the central tension of this outlook. A real economy sprinting ahead and price pressure building underneath it are exactly what Governor Sanjay Malhotra’s Monetary Policy Committee must weigh when it announces its August verdict on August 5.
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